The Outlook for Unconventional Oil Gas Production Full report
Oil Market ReportThe Outlook for Unconventional Oil Gas Production Full report
Quarterly Oil Market Update (Q2 2014)
Oil Market ReportGlobal oil demand in Q2 2014 increased by 1 million barrels per day (mbpd) year-on-year, whilst falls in OPEC production saw global supply limited to increases of 0.4 mbpd, year-on-year. Non-OPEC supply will exceed global demand growth in 2014 but geopolitical events will prevent any sustained fall in oil prices. As a result, we have revised our Brent oil forecasts upwards from $105 per barrel previously, to an average of $109 per barrel for 2014. We have also revised our Saudi crude production forecasts upwards to 9.7 mbpd for 2014, from 9.4 mbpd previously.
Quarterly GDP update: Oil sector dragged down overall growth in Q2
Oil Market ReportLatest economic growth data released by CDSI show a real economic growth of 3.8 percent year-on-year, 1.3 percentage point lower than in the first quarter of this year. Contribution to growth has changed compared to the previous quarter and has become more dependent on the non-oil sector. We assume that year-on-year economic growth will be lower in the second half of the year, owing to a decline in oil sector output, while the non-oil private sector will remain robust.
